Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Santa Barbara
Big West
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#109
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#119
Pace61.8#283
Improvement-1.2#235

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#109
Improvement+0.3#165

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#109
Improvement-1.5#254
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 11   @ Kansas L 59-69 8%     0 - 1 +9.4 +9.7 +9.7
  Nov 17, 2014 175   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 75-81 OT 56%     0 - 2 -3.8 +1.1 +1.1
  Nov 27, 2014 167   Washington St. W 71-43 65%     1 - 2 +27.8 -0.1 -0.1
  Nov 28, 2014 179   Mercer W 65-60 OT 68%     2 - 2 +3.9 -0.5 -0.5
  Nov 29, 2014 63   Colorado St. L 63-65 36%     2 - 3 +5.5 +3.7 +3.7
  Dec 04, 2014 276   Seattle W 87-46 88%     3 - 3 +32.1 -4.5 -4.5
  Dec 08, 2014 29   @ SMU L 73-80 OT 16%     3 - 4 +7.4 +7.2 +7.2
  Dec 11, 2014 92   San Diego L 65-79 57%     3 - 5 -12.2 +0.9 +0.9
  Dec 22, 2014 47   @ Oregon L 78-82 OT 20%     3 - 6 +8.4 +6.2 +6.2
  Dec 30, 2014 96   @ Oregon St. L 64-76 36%     3 - 7 -4.7 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 02, 2015 131   Vermont W 64-57 67%     4 - 7 +6.3 -0.3 -0.3
  Jan 05, 2015 175   Florida Gulf Coast W 63-50 76%     5 - 7 +9.4 -1.8 -1.8
  Jan 10, 2015 154   @ Cal Poly W 50-45 51%     6 - 7 1 - 0 +8.4 +1.7 +1.7
  Jan 15, 2015 260   Cal St. Northridge L 63-74 87%     6 - 8 1 - 1 -19.4 -4.2 -4.2
  Jan 17, 2015 137   @ Long Beach St. L 53-69 46%     6 - 9 1 - 2 -11.3 +2.4 +2.4
  Jan 22, 2015 218   UC Riverside W 83-75 82%     7 - 9 2 - 2 +2.2 -2.9 -2.9
  Jan 24, 2015 295   Cal St. Fullerton W 68-49 90%     8 - 9 3 - 2 +8.9 -5.1 -5.1
  Jan 29, 2015 110   @ UC Davis L 64-70 39%     8 - 10 3 - 3 +0.5 +3.3 +3.3
  Jan 31, 2015 102   @ UC Irvine L 55-77 38%     8 - 11 3 - 4 -15.0 +3.5 +3.5
  Feb 07, 2015 123   Hawaii W 75-74 65%     9 - 11 4 - 4 +0.9 -0.1 -0.1
  Feb 12, 2015 137   Long Beach St. W 70-55 68%     10 - 11 5 - 4 +13.9 -0.5 -0.5
  Feb 14, 2015 260   @ Cal St. Northridge W 65-57 73%     11 - 11 6 - 4 +5.4 -1.3 -1.3
  Feb 19, 2015 218   @ UC Riverside L 62-64 64%     11 - 12 6 - 5 -2.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Feb 21, 2015 295   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 69-54 78%     12 - 12 7 - 5 +10.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Feb 26, 2015 110   UC Davis W 74-60 61%     13 - 12 8 - 5 +14.8 +0.4 +0.4
  Feb 28, 2015 102   UC Irvine W 54-51 60%     14 - 12 9 - 5 +4.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Mar 04, 2015 123   @ Hawaii W 98-90 43%     15 - 12 10 - 5 +13.6 +2.8 +2.8
  Mar 07, 2015 154   Cal Poly W 64-56 72%     16 - 12 11 - 5 +5.7 -1.2 -1.2
  Mar 12, 2015 154   Cal Poly W 54-50 62%     17 - 12 +4.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Mar 13, 2015 102   UC Irvine L 63-72 OT 49%     17 - 13 -4.9 +2.0 +2.0
Projected Record 17.0 - 13.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%